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Crude Falls Again on Supply and Demand Imbalance

© Reuters.

By Peter Nurse

Investing.com – Oil prices headed lower Friday, as the spread of the pneumonia-like virus in China looks set to have a significant impact on growth in the world’s largest importer of crude.

By 9:00 AM ET (1400 GMT), U.S. crude futures were down 1.5% at $55.87 a barrel, having earlier hit an intraday low of $55.59, its lowest since Dec. 2. Brent futures were down 1.3% at $62.38 a barrel.

The SARS-like virus has claimed the lives of 26 people, and has prompted the Chinese authorities to introduce travel restrictions across 10 cities, affecting at least 20 million people, in the middle of their holiday season.

“The virus could shave between 0.5 to 1 percentage point off China’s gross domestic product growth this year against a baseline forecast of 5.9 per cent,” the Economist Intelligence Unit said in a report released late Thursday.

Indeed, the outbreak has already impacted 200,000 barrels of refined products, estimated Claudia Galimberti of S&P Global Platts. He said the shutdown of transportation in Hubei province, where the disease was first noted, has probably eliminated about 50,000 to 70,000 barrels a day of demand.

This expected hit to demand has prompted talk of moves by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to curtail supply.

Saudi Arabia’s energy minister was reported as saying that said all options, including further oil output cuts, will be on the table at the next meeting of OPEC and its petro allies.

Still, that meeting is scheduled for early March and traders are currently more interested in the current oversupplied nature of the market.

The weekly report published by the Energy Information Administration a day later than usual onThursday revealed that commercial crude oil inventories in the US fell by 0.4 million barrels in the latest week. This compared with hefty draws in the previous two weeks, but still was below estimates for a drop of 1 million barrels,

After the close, Baker Hughes will update the market with its latest numbers on active drilling rigs. The company gave a bleak outlook for its U.S. land-based business earlier this week as it presented its quarterly number.

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Source: Investing.com