The warnings of a slower economy and greater fundamental risks to the financial system relayed to the market by the IMF and major central banks this past week seem to have been firmly overlooked. Are the favorable trends in risk appetite robust enough to restore a genuine phase of risk appetite or is this simply another bout of temporary respite from reality?
Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Outlook Bearish on RBA. AUDUSD Eyes China Q1 GDP
The Australian Dollar outlook is bearish given the risks of pessimistic RBA minutes and US earnings which may offset AUD/USD gains on local jobs data and China first quarter GDP.
Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Could Crumble if Growth Concerns Catch Fire Again
The price of crude oil is up a whopping 38 percent year-to-date as fading fears over slowing global growth and OPEC supply cuts boosted the commodity higher. Although, recent gains could be jeopardized if sentiment sours again
British Pound Forecast: GBPUSD Rate Defends Bull Trend Ahead of UK CPI Amid Brexit Extension
GBP/USD may continue to defend the bull-trend from late-2018 should fresh data prints coming out of the UK put pressure on the BoE to further normalize monetary policy.
US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar Looks to Earnings, Economic Data to Shape Growth Bets
The US Dollar will be looking to first-quarter corporate earnings reports and a slew of macroeconomic data releases to shape global growth bets amid fears of slowdown.
Gold Forecast: Gold Price Forecast Quickly Turning Bearish as Risks Subside
Gold prices took a hit at the end of the week as global equity markets surged to the topside – in spite of a weaker US Dollar. Now that the US-China trade war talks may be nearing resolution and Brexit has been punted to October, Gold’s appeal as a safe haven has been diminished.
Euro Forecast: Will Data Support EURUSD Break?
Markets are likely to stay quite next week as Easter nears, but data releases through the week may well decide if EURUSD can retain the 1.1300 level in the short-term.
Equities Forecast: S&P 500, DAX Outlook: EU/US Trade War Brewing
The S&P 500 hovers around 2900 with record highs in sight, while DAX dismisses early stages of a potential EU/US trade wars.
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