Following a flat start, the Indian equity market fell sharply on January 4 as global macro concerns took the centre stage and investors booked some profit.
The Sensex closed 636 points lower, or 1.04 percent, at 60,657. The Nifty lost 189 points, or 1.04 percent, to close at 18,043. About 1193 shares advanced, 2202 shares declined, and 124 shares were unchanged.
Follow our live blog for all the market action
Globally, investors are keenly monitoring minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) December meeting that will indicate the signs of interest rate hike trajectory in the new year. The minutes will be released later tonight.
Let’s take a look at the factors that dragged the markets down today.
At the conclusion of the December 13-14 meeting of the FOMC, interest rate was hiked by 50 basis points (bps) to a target range of 4.25 percent to 4.5 percent. While this was a stepdown from 75bps, policymakers published new projections on higher inflation expectations.
Officials now see inflation ending 2023 at 3.1 percent, according to their median projection, compared with 2.8 percent in the previous quarterly forecast released in September.
Wall Street off to a weak start in 2023
On Tuesday, which was the first trading session of 2023 for Wall Street, the Nasdaq shed 0.76 percent, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 dipped 0.03 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively.
Six of the 11 major S&P sectors closed lower, led to the downside by energy. This negative start came as a double whammy after Wall Street’s major averages notched their worst year since 2008.
Recession to hit a third of the world economy: IMF chief
International Monetary Fund chief Kristalina Georgieva has said that up to a third of the world could be in recession and even those countries that are not in recession would feel like recession for lakhs of people.
“The year 2023 will be tougher than the last year because the economies of the US, the EU and China will slow down,” she said in an interview to CBS.
Brent holds steady above $80/bbl
Oil prices held their ground on Wednesday after declining in the previous session. Brent futures for March delivery rose 6 cents to $82.16 a barrel, a 0.1 percent gain. WTI oil was trading at $76.91 per barrel at 12 pm.
The Chinese government has raised export quotas for refined oil products in the first batch for 2023, signalling expectations of poor domestic demand. The dollar index gained ahead of the FOMC meeting minutes and crossed 104 levels once again.
“Markets have been moving in a narrow range of 18,000-18,200 over the past few days. Some sectors like banks and metals had witnessed buying, which saw profit-booking today,” said Siddhartha Khemka, Head – Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
The Nifty Bank was down 1.07 percent, Nifty PSU Bank was down 1.8 percent, and Nifty Metal closed 2.11 percent lower. On the first trading day (January 2) of the new year, the metal index had outperformed all other indices on back of positive cues from China reopen.
“The Nifty is facing a strong resistance at 18,400 levels on the higher side but it has good support at around 18,080 – 18000 levels,” said Rohan Patil, technical analyst, SAMCO Securities.
Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.